Tag: Tajikistan

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Afghan Insurgency Spreading North
World
Afghan Insurgency Spreading North
May 28, 2015

Afghanistan comes to the fore of Central Asian agenda. The situation has greatly exacerbated in the northern Afghan provinces… Until recently it had been widely believed that the central authorities in Kabul were fighting the Taliban. Now a third belligerent emerged. Afghanistan’s National Security Adviser, Mohammad Hanif Atmar, has said that the presence of Daesh, or the Islamic State, is growing. According to him, the group plans to seize control of Central Asia and then move to Russia. The efforts to fight the Islamic State in Afghanistan are not enough to counter the threat…

War in Afghanistan Comes Close to Tajikistan Border
May 19, 2015

…The civil war in Afghanistan has approached the Tajikistan border. The fighting takes place in Imam Sahib District where the Taliban holds its position on the shore of Panj River… The fighting is moving from south to north. The Taliban forces control about 80% of Badakhshan province located near the Gorno-Badakhshan autonomous region in eastern Tajikistan… Evidently all the Washington’s assurances about the stabilization of the situation in the country are groundless. The mission set 14 years ago before the US forces were deployed in Afghanistan has not been accomplished. No matter that, the operation Enduring Freedom has served as justification for bringing US troops near the borders of the Community of Independent States…

War in Afghanistan Comes Close to Tajikistan Border
World
US Drones to Deploy in Central Asia
World
US Drones to Deploy in Central Asia
March 24, 2014

On February 16 the Los Angeles Times reported that the Obama administration is making contingency plans to use air bases in Central Asia to conduct drone missile attacks in northwest Pakistan in case the White House is forced to withdraw all U.S. forces from Afghanistan at the end of this year without having an agreement of the status of forces… The implementation of United States plans to deploy drones in Central Asia will expand the US military presence in the region and create conditions for conducting secret operations using unmanned aerial vehicles while negatively affecting the regional balance of forces.

Afghanistan and its Future (III)
October 9, 2013

Washington does not exclude that the repetition of Syria scenario caused by NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan may result in strategic advantage to meet its interests. Controlled chaos is a tried and true method. A would-be war in Afghanistan will enable the Americans to control the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in China, maintain instability in the vicinity of Iranian borders and exacerbate the relations between India and Pakistan. Finally, the United States will maintain a springboard to exert pressure on Central Asia. Since 2014 Afghanistan is to become a major security problem for Russia…

Afghanistan and its Future (III)
World
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ISAF Afghan Pull Out and Security Concerns
World
ISAF Afghan Pull Out and Security Concerns
May 20, 2013

Russia has voiced concern over the security threats increasing following the planned withdrawal of most US-led foreign combat troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014. On May 8 the President of Russia said at the Security Council meeting that U.S. and NATO-led forces «have not yet achieved a breakthrough in the fight against terrorist and radical groups» and that these groups have become more active recently… The President further pointed out that «international forces have done practically nothing to root out drug production in Afghanistan» and ignored Russian proposals for more efforts to eradicate crops of poppies used to make heroin. As a result «there is every reason to believe that in the near future we may face a worsening of the situation»…

Is Central Asia Ripe for Change? (II)
April 11, 2013

To be sure, there is an extraordinary degree of consensus amongst the ruling elites in the Central Asian countries… Given that the allocation of resources is centralized, and taking into account the propensity to keep the officials frequently rotating, there is also little scope for emergence of other power centres.  However, there is that ultimate unquantifiable mystique haunting the political chessboard in all the Central Asian states – the succession question… Besides, Central Asian countries are no longer hermit kingdoms. Not only have they globalized but also thanks to the Afghan war and the rise of China, they are «frontline» states in world politics. Interestingly, even as the endgame in Afghanistan is getting under way, Central Asia has got a curious visitor from Washington this week – Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs Mike Hammer…

Is Central Asia Ripe for Change? (II)
World
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan: Rising Menace
World
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan: Rising Menace
February 4, 2013

The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) has become a concern in Eurasian region…  As northern Afghanistan borders Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, it has become convenient for IMU to use porous borders and play havoc in Central Asia. Its cousins in Central Asia like Jundullah (soldiers of Allah) have recently been active in countries like Kazakhstan. Like IMU, the Jundullah has its base in border areas of Pakistan and Afghanistan…

The Tajikistan conundrum Part II: The politics of «Islamic Caliphate»
August 1, 2012

…In the highly competitive strategic environment, the US has been systematically undercutting Russia’s own attempts at regional integration within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization. And all this while tens of thousands of US troops, including combat troops, are preparing for open-ended stay in Afghanistan and the NATO’s shadows are steadily lengthening in the Central Asian steppes. The Gorno-Badakhshan events couldn’t have had a more cataclysmic regional backdrop.

The Tajikistan conundrum Part II: The politics of «Islamic Caliphate»
World
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