Bosnia-Herzegovina: Dysfunctional Elections in a Failed Protectorate

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Dysfunctional Elections in a Failed Protectorate

Things could definitely be going better for the West in its ramshackle Balkan mini-protectorates. The September 30 Macedonian referendum designed to fast-track the statelet’s accession to NATO was a flop, with only a 37% turnout (50% + 1 was needed for it to be valid), leaving NATO, EU and US officials scrambling to put a good face on it and find yet more creative ways of flouting popular will. And the October 7 general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (B-H for short) did little more than highlight the ultimate unviability of the great Western in vivo “multikulti” experiment, something that the likes of Angela Merkel already realized in 2010. (To remind: B-H is dominated by three nationalities – Muslim Bosniaks, Christian Orthodox Serbs, and Catholic Croats; B-H itself was, up to the unipolar West’s unilateral recognition of its “independence” in spring of 1992 and the ensuing bloody civil war, a part of the much larger, economically more successful and truly independent multi-ethnic Yugoslavia, which the West, drunk with its Cold War victory, broke up with gusto. In other words, the “bad” sovereign multiculturalism had to go, to be replaced by the “good” Western-supervised variety.)

Nobody sounds overly happy with the results of the B-H elections – including the winners. Thus, the winner of the race for the Muslim member of the three-way Presidency (representing each of the country’s three main ethnicities), Sefik Dzaferovic, is expressing displeasure at neighboring Croatia’s “interference in Bosnia’s internal affairs.” And why is Croatia “interfering”? Because it is displeased with the fact that the “true” Croat candidate for the B-H presidency, Dragan Covic (who had won the previous election in 2014 and, reportedly, over 80% of the Croat votes this time), has lost to a Croat in-name-only candidate, Zeljko Komsic, voted in by the Muslims, who outnumber the Croats by four to one in the joint Croat-Muslim entity (B-H is divided into two semi-autonomous political “entities” – the majority Muslim-Croat Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the majority Serb Republika Srpska). The “Croat” winner Komsic is, for his part, also unhappy with the criticism he is receiving from neighboring Croatia for professing his allegiance to B-H rather than Croatia. And both Dzaferovic and Komsic are expressing their displeasure with their future presidency colleague representing the Serbs, Milorad Dodik, for announcing his intention of pushing for B-H’s recognition of Crimea as a part of Russia – as is, expectedly, Ukraine. For his part, along with Serbia’s foreign minister Ivica Dacic, Dodik is unhappy with Komsic for declaring that, as far as he’s concerned, neighboring Serbia’s secessionist Kosovo province is an “independent state,” just as he is not thrilled with Dzaferovic in general, specifically his wartime role as a police commander in the Muslim-dominated Army of B-H and his alleged failure to report serious war crimes committed by mujahedin against Serbian soldiers. Also, not for the first time, Dodik is displeased with the US Ambassador’s interference in the elections and her pressure tactics against the B-H Central Election Commission.

Bosnia’s Western overlords are not exactly jumping for joy, either. The Western-appointed viceroy for B-H, High Representative Valentin Inzko, is, among other things, unhappy about the large number (7%) of irregular ballots cast in the election. The US State Department has expressed “concerns about the electoral process,” obviously unhappy that its meddling, as in Macedonia, didn’t produce the desired results. The OSCE is, naturally, unhappy with the “ethnic-based segmentation” (a fancy way of describing the phenomenon of people merely voting for others of their own nationality), as is the EU. The NATO-associated Atlantic Council is also lamenting the fact that “the West continues to be outmaneuvered by cunning politicians beating the drum of nationalism to cling to power” (somewhere, Steve Bannon is smiling), even as it finds a measure of solace in the hope that support for the main nationalist parties among the Croats and the Muslims (who have rebranded themselves as “Bosniaks” over the past two decades, in order to strengthen their claim to all of Bosnia) is on the decline, while the popular Serb leader, Milorad Dodik, is being targeted by a color revolution-type operation (in NATO’s world, election results are to be cheered only if won by the “right candidates”; absent that, as for Lenin, seizing power on the streets is a perfectly acceptable alternative.)

Speaking of the situation in the Serb entity, Republika Srpska (RS for short), the pro-Western opposition that lost to Dodik and his hand-picked successor to the RS presidency, Zeljka Cvijanovic, is refusing to recognize the election results or take their parliamentary seats, claiming that Dodik is a “dictator” who “stole” the election and demanding a recount, while at the same time joining in on the above-mentioned color revolutionary activities that might potentially turn into a Euromaidan-type operation in RS’s capital city, Banja Luka. This is in keeping with a British-led election scenario uncovered by Serbian Sputnik in late September, according to which the elections were to be either sabotaged in advance or, failing that, not recognized should Dodik’s party gain the majority of the vote. Mass demonstrations would be incited in either case, with the “Justice for David” movement being used as the spark. And, since the protests regarding the death of 21 year-old David Dragicevic (which, taking after “Russiagate,” is being blamed on the Dodik-run government without any evidence) failed to attract a critical mass before the elections, the Western-backed opposition is now banking on turning their election grievances into a mass revolt against Dodik and his ruling anti-NATO and pro-Russian party, declaring their support for the victim’s father on Banja Luka’s main square, where he has declared a “free territory” and is refusing to leave until the “killers” (read: high government officials – the higher, the better) are caught and the government falls.

Adding to the mix is the fact that, besides the Serbian president, Aleksandar Vucic, Dodik has received congratulations on his election victory from Vladimir Putin, Sergey Lavrov and Victor Orban, even before official results have been announced. If “ethnic-based segmentation” is a cause for dismay in Western capitals, then the list of Dodik’s well-wishers is an absolute fire alarm. The West’s Bosnia-Herzegovina bantustan may well be more dysfunctional than ever, but that does not mean anyone else – especially not them Russkies stealing our precious bodily fluids or the Hungarian anti-immigrationanti-multikulti scourge of a president – has a right to jump in and try to make it better. In other words, the Western democracy-mongers are offering the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina only two choices: our way (more supervised dysfunction and paralysis) or the highway (blowing the whole place up once again, by way of color revolution or otherwise), while, naturally, pinning the blame on Russia! Russia! Russia!

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