Phillip SADILENKO - Independent analyst and researcher
It’s not the first time the election gives rise to exasperation among grassroots and it’s not the first time the pre-election campaign is accompanied by outlandish events unthinkable in normal society. Nothing comparable has ever happened in Ukraine. Is there another state in the world holding snap election while being plunged in civil war and entangled in the quagmire of political marketing, propaganda technologies and pre-election advertisements? From outside it looks like cynicism, from inside – like evil grotesque and tragic phantasmagoria.
«Is there another state in the world holding snap election being plunged in civil war?»
No matter «truce» is declared in the Donbass (the eastern part of Ukraine), every day the so-called cease-fire is breached to result in death toll among civilians. At the very same time in Lviv, Kiev, Kharkiv, Zaporozhye and other cities political wirepullers compete in the contest of posters’ colorfulness and eloquence of public statements. They all are trying to cash in on the ongoing war and the victims. Some say they want «peace» while calling for the extermination of the whole Donbass resistance movement, others insist that «the native Ukrainian land in the Donbass must be fully cleansed from anti-government elements». One gets the impression that the calls are coming from another country…
The impression is right, it’s another country. It’s hard to understand why they cannot understand it in Kiev and stop the war? One way or another, the Kiev-based rulers set much store by the election: they hope to «legitimize» the regime that came to power as a result of coup d'йtat.
What is to be expected as a result of the election slated for October 26?
There are three leading political parties: the Block of Petro Poroshenko, the Batkivshchyna Party or the All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland" and the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko. The People's Front, the Opposition Bloc and the Strong Ukraine are also in spotlight. The Communist Party of Ukraine has been kicked out from politics.
After the Maidan events the government had many times tried to set score with the Communist Party of Ukraine. Petro Symonenko, the Communists leader, was among few politicians who openly opposed the actions of Kiev regime in the east of the country. He tried to reveal the information on numerous civilian victims suffered as a result of the so-called «anti-terrorist operation» conducted in the Donbass. In the summer of 2014, the Verkhovna Rada (parliament) of Ukraine voted for dismissal of the Communist Party. The voting procedure was in violation of law.
The Block of Petro Poroshenko (the Petro Poroshenko Bloc) – a Ukrainian political party supporting the incumbent President Petro Poroshenko. In August 2014 Yuri Lutsenko, the former Minister of Internal Affairs, was elected the party’s chairman. He is known for close links to former Prime Minister Yulia Timoshenko and has the reputation of a politician involved in scandals.
Batkivshchyna is a political party led by Yulia Timoshenko.
The People's Front is a political party created by Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and parliament speaker Oleksandr Turchinov. The both politicians played leading roles during the Maidan events and enjoy the support of Washington.
The Radical Party of Ukraine is led by scandal-tainted politician MP Oleh Lyashko. A participant in Maidan events, he is notorious for outlandish escapades and atrocities committed in the east of the country against civilian activists of Donetsk and Luhansk detained and tortured by his armed supporters, as, for instance, reported by Amnesty International. Lyashko has criminal record with three previous convictions; he has been involved in a scandal related to raping an underage boy.
The ultra-nationalist Pravy Sector is kept at bay so that, if need be, one could say «there is no fascism in Ukraine!» (like if radical Lyashko were not a fascist!).
The Pravy Sector is a radical group of Nazi-oriented Ukrainian nationalists. It was the main driving force of the February coup in Kiev. The party propagates the idea of Ukrainian «pure race» calling for reprisals against Moscals (Russians). The armed units of Pravy Sector are the main recruitment base for punitive battalions waging war in the Donbass. They are notorious for being especially cruel towards civilians. Dmitry Yarosh, the leader of Pravy Sector, is wanted by Russian criminal police.
The Ukrainian sociologists are unanimous in their forecasts. Actually there are no differences in published ratings, something that looks strange as the social surveys use different ways of choosing respondents and counting… How come the sociologists manage to display such unanimity while the people questioned by pollsters are scared, angry and confused? The answer is evident: they can manage without asking questions at all. Many people say the race for seats in the parliament is a bargain, haggling defines the outcome. One can buy a parliament seat in province where the price is much lower while it’s really expensive in the capital. Meanwhile «people’s lustration» hits the streets. Radical young people – the members of Pravy Sector - literally throw the bureaucrats who evoke their indignation into trash bins. The revolution continues…
Symbolic harsh treatment of opponents has become popular among Ukrainian nationalists: People are dragged out of working places, caught on the streets and are thrown into trash bins.
The Opposition Bloc, that unites the remaining former Party of Regions members, contends that it is confronting the incumbent powers. In reality it will play the role of docile, obedient and domesticated opposition force. This «opposing force» may not get into the Verkhovna Rada, they are former «regionals» (the members of the Party of Regions) and voters have too many questions to ask. For instance, how come they let a fascist coup take place in the country? The Opposition Bloc has a twin competitor – the Strong Ukraine led by Sergey Tigipko. No matter who wins, the Rada will have a «pocket opposition».
The Party of Regions was formerly known as the leading political force of the country led by overthrown former President Victor Yanukovych.
Sergey Tigipko – a Ukrainian tycoon, former Prime Minister of Ukraine who has supported former President Yanukovych. Until 2012 he was included by Forbes into the list of 10 richest Ukrainians.
The specific feature of the race is that it has made surface and take shape the trend which many call «the revolt of real Nazi».
Street gangs and leaders’ groups waste no time on «democratic procedures», even if they are used as a veil, or exchanging words. They openly say that they are social fascists, social nationalists and put forward serious claims towards the incumbent regime accused of being «inert», «soft», «indecisive», «collaborationist» and «prone to peace making». The trend was mirrored by protests staged near the parliament building. That day the bill recognizing the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) and the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) as World War II combatants was put to a vote in the Verkhovna Rada. The unrest was organized by neo-Nazi from Revanche and Misanthropic Division that strive for power and the establishment of dictatorship.
One should not underestimate their chances. Tycoon Kolomoisky funds the fascists – members of the Patriot of Ukraine acting under the disguise of battalion Azov soldiers. Why not let other Nazi hit the streets and overthrow the «soft» Poroshenko? One way or another the real Nazi still have a role to play on the day of the October 26 election and afterwards.
Some are concerned over the prospect of putsch staged by «real Nazi» taking place on Sunday night in a few hours after the polls are closed under the slogans against falsifications allegedly planned by government.
No doubt if a putsch is organized it’ll be supported by the People’s Front, Pravy Sector, as well as Batkivschyna led by Yulia Timoshenko.
Of course, one can only guess. Many things are not predestined. But it can be said definitely that people have absolutely no influence on the outcome of October 2014 parliamentary election. No matter what results are made public under the circumstances, the further Nazification of the regime is unstoppable no matter the personalities.