Former British diplomat, founder and director of the Beirut-based Conflicts Forum.
Former British diplomat, founder and director of the Beirut-based Conflicts Forum.
Whatever one’s attitude towards globalization – good or bad – America’s way of waging its MAGA war on China likely will have unintended sequelae that may well lead to some last century style pain and disruption.
Europe is hovering at the cusp of debt-induced recession. But to speak about the first recession in 26 years, is also to speak about a Europe where the youngest generation has no experience of what a recession is like.
How, even after the disaster of Libya, European leaders can ignore the long history of interventions in Venezuela, to support a new intervention?
For the first time, an American official has definitively exposed the fact that the US has no vision for the future, and that the US now can only act disruptively in the Middle East.
Most people in the Middle East were perplexed. Not surprisingly – they have little experience of American evangelical ‘Rapture’ politics.
The Middle East is metamorphosing. New fault-lines are emerging, yet Trump’s foreign policy ‘hawks’ still try to stage ‘old movies’ in a new ‘theatre’.
It’s not just a trade war: behind that, hides a tech-war – and behind that, lie the plans for a full-spectrum arms race – from space to cyber.
The bifurcation of the global economy stems from America’s geo-political financial sanctions regime and the consequent attempts by targeted states to de-couple from the dollar sphere.