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Tajikistan

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US Drones to Deploy in Central Asia

On February 16 the Los Angeles Times reported that the Obama administration is making contingency plans to use air bases in Central Asia to conduct drone missile attacks in northwest Pakistan in case the White House is forced to withdraw all U.S. forces from Afghanistan at the end of this year without having an agreement of the status of forces... The implementation of United States plans to deploy drones in Central Asia will expand the US military presence in the region and create conditions for conducting secret operations using unmanned aerial vehicles while negatively affecting the regional balance of forces.

Dmitry POPOV | 24.03.2014


 

Afghanistan and its Future (III)

Washington does not exclude that the repetition of Syria scenario caused by NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan may result in strategic advantage to meet its interests. Controlled chaos is a tried and true method. A would-be war in Afghanistan will enable the Americans to control the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in China, maintain instability in the vicinity of Iranian borders and exacerbate the relations between India and Pakistan. Finally, the United States will maintain a springboard to exert pressure on Central Asia. Since 2014 Afghanistan is to become a major security problem for Russia...

Nikolai BOBKIN | 09.10.2013


 

ISAF Afghan Pull Out and Security Concerns

Russia has voiced concern over the security threats increasing following the planned withdrawal of most US-led foreign combat troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014. On May 8 the President of Russia said at the Security Council meeting that U.S. and NATO-led forces «have not yet achieved a breakthrough in the fight against terrorist and radical groups» and that these groups have become more active recently... The President further pointed out that «international forces have done practically nothing to root out drug production in Afghanistan» and ignored Russian proposals for more efforts to eradicate crops of poppies used to make heroin. As a result «there is every reason to believe that in the near future we may face a worsening of the situation»...

Andrei AKULOV | 20.05.2013


 

Is Central Asia Ripe for Change? (II)

To be sure, there is an extraordinary degree of consensus amongst the ruling elites in the Central Asian countries... Given that the allocation of resources is centralized, and taking into account the propensity to keep the officials frequently rotating, there is also little scope for emergence of other power centres.  However, there is that ultimate unquantifiable mystique haunting the political chessboard in all the Central Asian states – the succession question... Besides, Central Asian countries are no longer hermit kingdoms. Not only have they globalized but also thanks to the Afghan war and the rise of China, they are «frontline» states in world politics. Interestingly, even as the endgame in Afghanistan is getting under way, Central Asia has got a curious visitor from Washington this week – Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs Mike Hammer...

Melkulangara BHADRAKUMAR | 11.04.2013


 

Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan: Rising Menace

The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) has become a concern in Eurasian region...  As northern Afghanistan borders Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, it has become convenient for IMU to use porous borders and play havoc in Central Asia. Its cousins in Central Asia like Jundullah (soldiers of Allah) have recently been active in countries like Kazakhstan. Like IMU, the Jundullah has its base in border areas of Pakistan and Afghanistan...

Aurobinda MAHAPATRA | 04.02.2013


 

The Tajikistan conundrum Part II: The politics of «Islamic Caliphate»

...In the highly competitive strategic environment, the US has been systematically undercutting Russia’s own attempts at regional integration within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization. And all this while tens of thousands of US troops, including combat troops, are preparing for open-ended stay in Afghanistan and the NATO’s shadows are steadily lengthening in the Central Asian steppes. The Gorno-Badakhshan events couldn’t have had a more cataclysmic regional backdrop.

Melkulangara BHADRAKUMAR | 01.08.2012


 

The Tajikistan conundrum Part I: The Pamirs on the boil

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe demanded that the Tajikistan government should rescind its decision to block the video-sharing YouTube. Twenty people held protest demonstration in front of the Tajikistan embassy in Washington. The United Nations demanded immediate access for its representative to visit the Gorno-Badakhshan region in eastern Tajikistan to take stock of the emergent “humanitarian situation” there. Anyone who thought the Pamirs were at the end of the world was making a mistake.

Melkulangara BHADRAKUMAR | 31.07.2012


 

Fight in Mountainous Badakhshan

By the end of July the situation in the Mountaneous Badakhshan (Gorno-Badakhshan) autonomous region abruptly exacerbated. Gordo-Badakhshan is a highland area in the south-eastern part of Tajikistan, making up almost a half (45%) of the territory... In response to the killing of Abdullo Nazarbaev, special services General, the authorities launched a military operation to eliminate the criminal organization responsible for the crime... The fact that there were armed people from Afghanistan taking part in hostilities evokes special concern... The events make remember that the dividing of Tajikistan along ethnic and religious lines after the 1997 peace accords still tells, the existing divisions may be rather easily be used to destabilize the country... The further conflict escalation is not excluded.

Aleksandr SHUSTOV | 27.07.2012


 

Future of Russian Military Bases in Central Asia Called into Question

Russia's positions in Central Asia are increasingly coming under pressure as the deadline for the US withdrawal from Afghanistan is drawing closer. Uzbekistan was the first to subject its relations with Russia in the security sphere to a serious overhaul, and in no time the trend has proved contagious. So far, the defiance of other Central Asian republics is limited to demands of higher compensations for hosting Russian military bases: recently, Tajikistan rolled out an unprecedented cost of lease for Russia's 201st military base, and Kyrgyzstan indicated three sites on its soil would come at a higher charge for Moscow…

Aleksandr SHUSTOV | 18.07.2012


 

What Does the Taliban Attack on Kabul Portend? (I)

The “spectacular” Taliban attack on numerous venues in Kabul and in three provinces seen in conjunction with the suspension of talks between the Americans and the Taliban in Qatar and the vehement Taliban rejection of talks with the Afghan government has reinforced the apprehensions of the Afghan people that peace and stability in Afghanistan remains a distant dream and exacerbates fears that the completion of the foreign troop withdrawal will not only bring economic hardship but chaotic security and political conditions.

Najmuddin A. SHAIKH | 27.04.2012




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OUR COLUMNIST
    Dmitry MININ

The Islamic State – America’s Double-Edged Sword

Serious experts are now in little doubt that the US administration was the ‘midwife’ of the Islamic State (IS). Renowned Israeli analyst and former head of the ultra-secretive intelligence agency Nativ, Jacob Kedmi, says that the US is now trying to use the tactic of setting moderate Islam against radical Islam, which was «successfully employed in Russia». It is not turning out well for the US, however, considering that for the last three years the Americans have acted as allies of the IS in Syria, and before that were allies of al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan... The war currently being carried out against the IS by the US Air Force is recognised to be for show and is more reminiscent of an arrangement of red flags, beyond which it is inadvisable to go...

27.11.2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
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